Valencia Orange Production Forecast At 20 Million Cartons

By California Ag Network


The March 2020-21 Valencia orange forecast is 20.0 million cartons. This forecast was based on the results of the 2020-21 Valencia Orange Objective Measurement (O.M.) Survey, which was conducted from January 11 to February 28, 2021. Estimated fruit set per tree, fruit diameter, trees per acre, bearing acreage, and oranges per carton were used in the statistical models estimating production.


The season had experienced scattered precipitation in some areas but mainly warm and dry conditions in January and February. Survey data indicated an average fruit set per tree of 545, a 2.7% decrease from the previous year and slightly below the five-year average. The average March 1 diameter was 2.552 inches, up 3.3% from the previous year and slightly above the five-year average of 2.529.


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